锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟杰凤拷泰锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接拷锟絴原锟斤拷|锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷|锟斤拷锟斤拷_锟斤拷锟剿财撅拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷摘要锟斤拷目前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡ｏ拷锟斤拷母锟斤拷之锟叫ｏ拷锟斤拷锟角达拷潜锟节碉拷一些锟斤拷锟狡凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷前锟斤拷锟角筹拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟酵谷凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷希锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥撅拷锟矫撅拷锟狡伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆碉拷锟斤拷远锟斤拷诘姆锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭伙拷锟斤拷幕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷濉ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷希锟斤拷锟揭碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷蔚谋锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷原锟斤拷强锟狡的达拷锟阶凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖撅拷锟轿筹拷一锟斤拷锟阶诧拷平台锟斤拷锟叫斤拷强锟斤拷支锟脚ｏ拷锟揭诧拷同锟斤拷去锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷禄锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷椋拷丫锟斤拷锟斤拷诘锟轿伙拷锟斤拷图锟街э拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷诩锟接拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥恢革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷效锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷裕锟斤拷锟轿ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟窖撅拷为迎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷幕指锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷麓锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷芯桶锟斤拷锟绞拷锟斤拷锟接︼拷锟斤拷缘牡锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷斩锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷谋锟饺伙拷锟斤拷约锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥把控讹拷锟斤拷锟桔革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟剿拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟街拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷募锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷战锟接拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷椤�

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锟斤拷锟斤拷1. 锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟捷凤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆达拷2014锟斤拷锟铰帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一直锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷之锟叫ｏ拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟饺和第讹拷锟斤拷GDP锟斤拷锟劫度讹拷锟斤拷7%锟斤拷水平锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫★拷锟节碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟脚癸拷锟街的凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖撅拷锟斤拷失锟截斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟紾DP锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷预锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟捷诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷莸锟斤拷锟斤拷小锟�

锟斤拷锟斤拷图1

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟接凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖撅拷去锟斤拷锟斤拷锟杰★拷锟教讹拷锟绞诧拷投锟斤拷前7锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷11.2%锟斤拷锟皆憋拷锟斤拷史锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖撅拷锟斤拷09锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷投锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷叩锟�33%锟斤拷锟斤拷6锟斤拷锟铰碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�2锟斤拷锟斤拷锟捷筹拷锟斤拷45锟饺斤拷锟铰碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟饺的匡拷锟斤拷锟皆猴拷小锟斤拷锟斤拷锟截诧拷(13.7%-4.3%)锟较帮拷锟斤拷投锟斤拷锟斤拷锟劫达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷校锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭低讹拷锟�(14.6%锟斤拷9.2%)也锟斤拷疲锟斤拷锟侥★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖撅拷锟斤拷锟街革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭伙拷锟斤拷卮锟侥变化锟斤拷锟截憋拷锟角斤拷锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟饺斤拷锟斤拷锟皆ｏ拷前7锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷锟桔硷拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷14.6%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷芏罨癸拷诒锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟剿揭诧拷锟斤拷锟�10.4%锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷37%锟斤拷说锟斤拷锟斤拷锟窖结构锟酵凤拷式转锟斤拷锟截憋拷锟斤拷锟皆从讹拷也锟侥憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟捷★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟节革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟劫讹拷也锟节达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷陆锟斤拷锟斤拷泄锟斤拷锟桔撅拷锟斤拷预锟斤拷指锟斤拷锟斤拷锟教碉拷锟斤拷锟戒，锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷偏锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷全锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷OECD锟斤拷锟斤拷指锟斤拷也锟斤拷一直锟斤拷锟铰斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷全锟斤拷锟斤拷说锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷转锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟截憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷原锟较的癸拷锟揭讹拷锟斤拷锟角猴拷锟街观★拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图2 图3

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图 4

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷2. 锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷全锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷丫锟斤拷锟斤拷瞥锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷撸锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷疲锟斤拷泄锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷丫锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷械墓锟斤拷锟斤拷恕锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�10锟斤拷锟斤拷债券锟桔革拷锟津保筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷员冉虾玫锟阶达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟教凤拷锟斤拷锟皆拷锟揭恢憋拷锟斤拷锟�93-97之锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭诧拷潜冉锟角匡拷频亩锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷什锟斤拷鄹锟斤拷锟窖癸拷啤锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡凤拷谐锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆拷锟斤拷丫锟斤拷锟�45锟斤拷元锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷时锟斤拷锟侥伙拷锟斤拷品指锟斤拷锟斤拷然锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟角达拷锟斤拷锟铰碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷之锟叫★拷锟接斤拷锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷债锟叫伙拷锟叫猴拷锟斤拷品锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥癸拷锟教ｏ拷锟斤拷锟藉处锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷之锟叫ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟杰伙拷锟狡筹拷锟斤拷9锟铰的硷拷息锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟剿讹拷锟捷碉拷锟斤拷锟饺和凤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷预锟节癸拷锟斤拷锟皆后，等伙拷锟介开锟斤拷锟叫筹拷锟街会处锟节撅拷锟斤拷之锟叫ｏ拷9锟斤拷锟斤拷旬锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷息锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟侥憋拷锟教点。

锟斤拷锟斤拷图5锟斤拷锟斤拷十锟斤拷锟斤拷债券锟斤拷K锟斤拷图图6HS300锟斤拷K锟斤拷图

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图7锟侥伙拷锟斤拷品指锟斤拷锟斤拷K锟斤拷图图8锟斤拷元指锟斤拷锟斤拷K锟斤拷图

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟叫撅拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图示锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷图锟叫匡拷锟皆匡拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟绞诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节革拷位锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷实锟藉经锟矫碉拷锟斤拷品指锟斤拷锟酵达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟藉经锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡的癸拷指锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫★拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷3. 锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭凤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭和诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟芥，锟斤拷锟叫癸拷锟斤拷说希锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟杰癸拷锟饺讹拷锟侥憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷7%锟斤拷锟剿斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�14锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一直锟节斤拷息锟酵斤拷准锟斤拷也一直锟斤拷维锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫碉拷锟饺讹拷锟酵凤拷展锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟狡讹拷锟绞憋拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷母铮拷贫锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭碉拷姆锟秸癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥壳帮拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷遣锟矫伙拷锟斤拷锟角帮拷锟斤拷锟矫达拷锟斤拷锟揭伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟揭碉拷头锟斤拷夭锟揭碉拷锟街э拷郑锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟叫╋拷锟斤拷陆锟矫伙拷锟斤拷业锟揭恍┩伙拷锟斤拷牟锟揭碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷玫姆锟秸癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆比较筹拷锟届健锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷要锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷统锟斤拷源锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆硷拷锟斤拷锟截诧拷锟侥癸拷锟揭讹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷疲锟斤拷状态锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷志锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆匡拷锟� 锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟饺斤拷强锟狡ｏ拷锟叫癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷没锟叫好的对诧拷锟斤拷锟狡讹拷锟斤拷锟矫的凤拷展锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图 9

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锟斤拷锟斤拷图 10

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锟斤拷锟斤拷图12 图13

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锟斤拷锟斤拷3. 锟斤拷锟轿革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷膜锟斤拷为锟斤拷锟斤拷锟秸讹拷锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟戒不锟斤拷锟叫★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟绞拷锟斤拷锟斤拷贫锟斤拷锟斤拷诙锟斤拷锟斤拷锟侥わ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锏斤拷叻濉ｏ拷锟叫╋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷效锟街革拷锟斤拷锟杰达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟桔★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷膜锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆比匡拷锟斤拷每锟斤拷7锟斤拷锟皆猴拷膜锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节达到一锟斤拷锟较碉拷水平锟斤拷突锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷缘锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷啤锟斤拷锟酵硷拷员锟斤拷锟�2010锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷膜锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷凭锟斤拷泄锟斤拷煽锟窖拷锟斤拷也锟斤拷芗鄹锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷掳锟斤拷甓硷拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷母锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷雍锟斤拷锟斤拷锟铰讹拷锟斤拷锟捷对比匡拷锟斤拷占锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷农锟矫憋拷膜锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷5锟铰匡拷始锟斤拷锟叫低谷凤拷锟斤拷锟侥硷拷锟斤拷锟斤拷为锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟介都锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷去锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷膜锟侥诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟皆碉拷锟铰伙拷锟斤拷锟狡★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷愿锟斤拷疲锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷路莶锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷鼗锟斤拷锟轿伙拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷鸥锟斤拷锟侥恢革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟较憋拷膜锟叫筹拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟斤拷维锟斤拷一锟斤拷水平锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷

锟斤拷锟斤拷图14 图15

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锟斤拷锟斤拷4. 双锟节斤拷锟斤拷迎锟斤拷锟斤拷锟竭筹拷

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锟斤拷锟斤拷图 16

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锟斤拷锟斤拷图17

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锟斤拷锟斤拷小锟结：锟斤拷前锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷农膜锟斤拷锟斤拷锟金步碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷石锟斤拷锟斤拷业锟斤拷全锟斤拷锟斤拷锟缴★拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷住锟缴观碉拷锟斤拷锟斤拷也锟截斤拷锟结定锟斤拷挺锟斤拷态锟饺ｏ拷锟斤拷目前锟较达拷幕锟斤拷锟绞癸拷锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷谐锟揭诧拷锟斤拷薷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷只锟斤拷鄹锟斤拷挺锟斤拷锟角憋拷然锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟桔革拷锟斤拷锟角★拷锟斤拷之目前锟较达拷锟斤拷锟斤拷旨鄄锟揭诧拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟矫筹拷锟斤拷潭锟酵凤拷妆锟斤拷锟斤拷校锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷泻艽锟侥匡拷锟杰伙拷锟斤拷未锟斤拷锟斤拷一锟斤拷时锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟睫革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟节伙拷锟桔革拷锟斤拷锟斤拷恰锟�

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锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷品锟街ｏ拷锟斤拷锟斤拷烯

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锟斤拷锟斤拷锟诫场锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷 8400锟斤拷8550

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟绞斤拷占锟矫ｏ拷 30%

锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷 700

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锟斤拷锟斤拷目锟斤拷锟斤拷锟斤拷锟�8800-9000

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